Showing posts with label Price Quote. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Price Quote. Show all posts

The Theory of the Forex Price Tide

The Forex market is like the ocean. It is like a river. The water flows... the water CURRENT. This is the reason why money is called CURRENCY. It creates its own flow. It circulates. It can be exchanged for other money. The flow creates demand. The demand makes it flow, even more, STRONG CURRENT. There's one of the best ways to survive the flow of money; SWIM ALONG THE TIDE. SWIM ALONG THE FLOW. It makes your Forex-life easier. 

The Theory of the Price Tide states that at any given price of any financial instrument that can be traded on both LONG and SHORT positions, the price will certainly go either way. Simple idea right? But how come the majority of traders failed to prepare a plan for this? Because they predict the price destination. There's nothing wrong with price prediction. I know a few traders that can successfully predict price destination with good probability and success. But to most of the traders, they are not meant to think and analyze like that. People have a different level of thinking. A person can be a good doctor but cannot be a price-predicting trader. A highly intelligent accountant may not be a good price-trend analyst. This is the reason why most traders fail. If you will ask me if I am a good price-predicting trader, I would say... I AM NOT. :) Since day 1 that I admitted to myself that I am not that good at that, that's the time that I start to gain a real profit. Because I started to look at a different angle, an alternative way to analyze the market price. Thus, this simple theory made me design a systematic approach to trading that doesn't need to predict the price. I just need to go with the trend until it ends. When the trend ends, I designed a strategy to limit losses when I still have positions. Once you see this dimension of the market, you will discover more dimensions, more ways to get positive pips. You can use all indicators available and you wouldn't even think that they are lagging. For price-predicting traders, indicators are lagging, but for trend-riders like us, it is not.

Trend-riders like us may not be as smart as the rest of the analytical traders. But our life is simple. And we achieve the bottom line, CONSISTENT PROFIT.

If your ego is not high like us, you can be a TREND-RIDERS like us. Join the circle, click here... https://www.facebook.com/groups/FXFledgling/permalink/1416740741768152/

About Currency Pairs And Charts

For newbies that have zero background on Forex Trading, maybe they are confused on Currency Pairs, Price Quotes and Chart. When we say currency pair, we partner 2 currencies. To represent that you put the 3-letter symbol of the currencies together, one on the left and the other one on the right. For example, if you  combine Euro and Japanese Yen, you will write it like this, EURJPY. EUR is the 3-letter symbol for Euro and JPY is for Japanese Yen.

How to kow which one is on the left and right?

I don't how it started (I didn't bother to research about it :) ), but the industry seems to follow a standard on who's on the left when it comes to the 8 commonly traded currencies. There is some sort of list of priorities on what currency is on the left. Here's the priority list on order of from top priority to last.

EUR - Euro
GBP - British Pound Sterling
AUD - Aussie Dollar
NZD - Kiwi Dollar
USD - US Dollar
CAD - Loonie Dollar
CHF - Swiss Francs
JPY - Japanese Yen

For the exotic ones, I don't know if they also follow a standard list.

So how this works. If you will pair CAD and AUD, the AUD comes first, like AUDCAD. It's that simple.


Price Quote / Conversion Rate

On price quote, when you see a price of a currency pair on the trading platform, chart, internet, or TV (business channel). The number actually refers to the conversion rate of the left currency to the right currency of the. So when you see EURUSD is 1.20241, it means 1 EUR = 1.20241 USD.  So all charts that you see in your MT4 is based on this.


Price Movement In Pips and Points

Look at any Forex candlestick chart, the number you see on the rightmost part of the chart is the price quotes. In most brokers, you will see 5 decimal digits for non-JPY pairs, and 3 digits for any pair with JPY. Few old-fashioned brokers' server have 4-decimal digits and 2-decimal digits, respectively. Each movement interval in 5-digit is 0.00001, and 0.001 for 3-digit. These price movement is called "Points". Ten movement of Points is called "Pips", so 1 Pip = 10 points. For 4-digit and 2-digit price quotes, they move only in Pips.


What is Spread?

Let's go deeper. The price quote you see on the chart is the Bid Price. But brokers have 2 prices, the BID and ASK. Bid price is always lower than the Ask price. The difference between the two is called SPREAD. On "BUY LONG" perspective, Bid is the buyer's price, and Ask is the seller's price. On currency pair when you BUY LONG, meaning, you are buying the rightmost currency with respect to the leftmost currency. On "SELL SHORT" perspective, Ask is the buyer's price (price=1/Ask), and Bid is the seller's price (price=1/Bid).  On currency pair when you SELL SHORT, it means you are buying the leftmost currency with respect to the rightmost currency. Spread is simply the broker's income on exchange transactions. Some brokers that offer zero spread, they apply a fixed commission on every transaction per lot.

It may not be clear at first, look and explore the charts then read many times this post while exploring the charts. You will soon understand it.